Proba Bet
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How Babeth puts the odds on your side

A bookmaker sets odds with a margin built in. Sometimes it gets them wrong and pays more than the true chance justifies. Babeth spots those odds every minute and tells you how much to stake.

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Three steps. Two minutes a day.

Babeth does the maths; you decide.

  1. Babeth works out the real chance

    Every minute she reviews 4,300+ markets across 39 bookmakers and uses Pinnacle (margin removed) and Betfair Exchange, one of the most liquid betting exchanges in the world, as references. That gives the true chance of every outcome.

  2. She spots the bookmakers that pay too much

    When a bookmaker pays more than that chance justifies, the bet shows up in your list with its chance of winning and your edge in %.

  3. You bet the right amount

    Babeth sizes the stake to your bankroll and your risk profile, never more than 5 % on one bet. One tap to log it; she settles it with the final score and tells you if you beat the closing line.

%
BabethMy rule is simple: I never tell you who will win. I tell you the real chance, and when a bookmaker pays as if it were smaller. Over a season, that is what pays.

Under a minute to understand

Watch Babeth work, from the scan to the settled bet

A worked example, using the engine's formulas. Click a step to pause on it.

proba.bet/app%1 / 8
Arsenal – Chelsea
Premier League · kick-off 21:00
1X2
Bookmaker1N2
Pinnaclereference2.153.603.40
Betfair Exchangereference2.202.243.703.803.503.60
Betclic2.103.403.30
Unibet2.203.453.25
1xBet2.183.553.40
Marathon Bet2.273.503.30
Winamax2.353.303.10

Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange: back odds on top, lay odds below.

Babeth re-reads these odds on every scan, day and night.

Illustrative example: made-up odds, the engine's formulas (edge expected at the close: 60 % of the edge, the default value; in real use Babeth predicts it bet by bet when her model is validated).

What you see on the screen

One list, the bets that earn the most on average first. Every line answers three questions: how likely is this bet to win, is the price worth it, and how much should I stake.

  • Chance of winning — the real probability of the bet, from odds widely regarded as the sharpest on the market, not from the bookmaker selling it.
  • Edge — what you gain per euro staked, on average, because the bookmaker pays more than the chance justifies.
  • Stake — the amount calculated to grow your bankroll without putting it at risk: a fraction of Kelly, never more than 5 % on one bet.
  • Closing line — after kick-off, Babeth compares your odds with the closing price. Beating it regularly is the proof that you have an edge.
Selection bets · your country's bookmakers and international onesseen 15 min ago
  • Anaheim Ducks – Calgary Flames+8.4 %
    Over 6.5 @ 2.08
    1xBet · NHL ·
    Chance
    52 %
  • San Jose Sharks – Nashville Predators+7.7 %
    Over 6.5 @ 2.25
    1xBet · NHL ·
    Chance
    48 %
  • Vegas Golden Knights – Vancouver Canucks+3.9 %
    Over 6.5 @ 2.10
    1xBet · NHL ·
    Chance
    49 %
🔒 148 more value bets right nowSee them all, 14 days free

Real bets, shown 15 minutes after they appear, like on the free plan. During the trial, you see them 90 seconds after.🔮 = chance that the price beats the closing odds (Babeth's forecast).

🧠 New · Babeth learns every night

An algorithm that learns from its mistakes, every night

Every night, Babeth replays the last 14 days with six different models, on bets they had never seen, and keeps the best one. She judges every bet on the closing line: the only proof that doesn't depend on luck.

75 %
of the selection's bets beat the closing line over the last 7 days (342 bets)
+3.7 %
average closing line value over those 7 days
+34 %
expected gain with the model chosen last night (14 unseen days)
94
bets a day in the selection
  • 🔁She learns every night — six models compete on bets they have never seen; the best one picks your bets from the next morning.
  • 🧠She explains every bet — "Why this bet?" breaks down the odds, Pinnacle and Betfair moves, the other bookmakers, line-ups, absences and the weather, factor by factor.
  • 📊She publishes everything — every bet in the selection is settled with the official score and compared with the closing line, even when the result is bad.
Example

🧠 Why this bet?

Lyon @ 2.14 · Winamax

Predicted real edge +3.1 %: what Babeth expects at the close, factor by factor.

  • Pinnacle movement+0.9 pt
    +1.2 pt over 1 h · +1.8 pt over 3 h · last change 6 min ago
  • Displayed edge+0.7 pt
    +4.6 % when the bet appeared
  • Other bookmakers+0.4 pt
    2 of 31 bookmakers above the fair odds
  • Teams+0.3 pt
    Official line-ups out 18 min ago · Missing: Lyon 0 · Nantes 2 · Days of rest: Lyon 6 · Nantes 3

Starting point +1.2 % (average of all flagged bets), plus the factors: +3.1 %. In closing-line-value points.

Illustrative example. On your dashboard, every bet has its own, computed by the model in charge (full breakdown with Pro and Sharp).

What Babeth promises, and what she doesn't

No guaranteed winnings. Ever.

Anyone promising you that is lying. Babeth gives you a mathematical edge; the variance is yours. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Proof, not stories

Every bet Babeth flags is recorded and settled with the real score, in public. Every bet you log is compared with the closing price. The numbers are shown even when they are bad.

Bookmakers filtered by country

By default you see the bookmakers licensed in your country plus international bookmakers, which are not authorised everywhere: check the law where you live. In Settings, you choose exactly which ones to show.

Two commitments, in writing

We judge our work by the closing price, not by the luck of results. And we would rather reward your friends than pay for ads.

🛡 Closing-line guarantee

A free month if Babeth doesn't beat the market

Every month, Babeth publishes the share of her bets that beat the closing odds. If it drops below 50% over at least 100 settled bets, every Pro and Sharp subscriber gets a free month, credited on their next invoice. Nothing to claim.

November 2026above the threshold
74 % of 1,128 measured bets beat the close (threshold 50 %)
How it is measured →

🎁 Referral

A free month for you, a free month for your friend

Your friend subscribes with your link: you each get one month of their plan, taken off the next invoice. No limit on referrals.

  1. 1.Copy your personal link from your dashboard.
  2. 2.Send it by WhatsApp, Telegram, X or email.
  3. 3.Your friend subscribes: you both get the free month.
Get my link →

More public proof, for less

Elsewhere, proof usually stops at tracking your own bets. Babeth publishes hers: every bet in the selection, settled and compared with the closing line, plus her lab results every night.

Proba Bet

Price / month
Free · €9.90 · €29 · €79
Public proof
public track record, closing value, calibration on every outcome, lab results published every night

RebelBetting

Price / month
$99 · $209 ($69 · $139 yearly)
Public proof
bet tracker, “free month” guarantee

BetBurger

Price / month
€79.99 pre-match · €279.99 live · €319.99 both
Public proof
—

Trademate Sports

Price / month
€30 to €400
Public proof
bet tracker

OddsJam

Price / month
$499 (global plan)
Public proof
bet tracker

Prices and proof checked on the vendors' websites on 21 September 2026; they may change. The full comparison →

Put the odds on your side, starting today.

14 days of Pro, no credit card. If it's not for you, just walk away.

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